Wednesday, December 24, 2008

High Yielding preferred

I have a couple of preferred shares which are very high yielding, but a little riskier than the aegon preferred. But they do offer a compelling risk/reward ration.

The first one is bee-pa This is a preferred for Strategic Hotels & Resorts. They own a bunch of branded luxury hotels. Right now it is a horrible time for hotels as people don't have money to spend of vacations. However, they look like they will be cash flow positive next year. They have halted their dividend. Also, they do not have any debt to pay off until 2011. They also have 116 million in cash with some of the cash being restricted. However, they do have financial covenants to be able to borrow under their bank credit facility. Currently, they do meet these convenants.

It is hard to predict what will happen with the economy over the next year. However, my gut feeling is that they will survive. Currently their preferred is paying 50% yield at these depressed prices. This seems like a great deal to me. If economy comes back, bee-pa will go from $4 something to $20 something.

Another one I like is slm-pb. This is Sallie Mae (Studen Loan Lender). This preferred has a par value of $100 and it trading at $16. It is a floating rate preferred based on the libor rate. As current prices it yielding around 20%+. However, if the libor rate goes up, this could yield much, much more. However, I dont like Sallie Mae that much as a business. They might have to take big writedowns on their portfolios if students do not pay their loans this coming year. This could cause liquidity issues. However, they will be supported by Department of Education, which will provide them with funding. This company will never go out of business, but if things get horrible the government could just take them over and if the deal is like what happened with fannie mae, then the preferred could be worthless.

Monday, December 22, 2008

satyam

Satyam (say), an indian computer outsourcing company, stock price recently plunged because it's ceo wanted to buy two construction companies (completely unrelated to current business) controlled by the ceo's family business for 1.6 billion dollars. However, when investors complained, the ceo abandoned his plans, but the damage had been done. The managment has lot its credibility. However, if you look at the company is very, very attractively valued. It is trading at $8/share. Almost half of the $8, it has in cash. And it supposed to earn almost $1.50/share this year. With a PE of almost 5 and with that much cash on hand and the ability to genearte tons of free cash flow, this is a very cheap stock. I initiated a position at $8.15. Hopefully, they follow their plan do use the cash to buy back shares or somebody takes them over.

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Aegon preferred

I really like the preferred stocks for the dutch insurer aegon. I currently own aeb. This is a floating rate preferred based on the 3 month libor rate. Even with the 3 month libor rate being so low, it is yielding around 15%. If and when libor rate goes up or when the stock market returns, this should definetly double in value. The dividend is safe as the insurer is getting billions of dollar from the dutch government to shore up its balance sheet. While you wait, you get a nice dividend.